Orlando investment: precision, not momentum.
Multifamily cap rates stabilizing near 5.0โ5.5%, median price per unit down 25% from 2022 peak, and 56% increase in transaction activity in 2025. Construction starts taper in 2024 creates 2026โ2027 supply constraints.
Submarket precision, BTR demand, and urban infill โ Orlando's downtown incentive program allocated $750K for vacant parcel development in 2026. River's investment practice is designed to create the conditions where disciplined investors find and close the right Orlando deals.
Downside Case
What holds if the Orlando market softens, costs escalate, and the timeline extends 12 months?
Base Case
Current market evidence, actual contractor pricing, and a realistic schedule for Orlando projects.
Upside Case
Only after downside and base are stress-tested โ the Orlando upside must be operationally achievable.
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